Coercive Nuclear Campaigns in the 21st Century: Understanding Adversary Incentives and Options for Nuclear Escalation - Posing Four Grim Options, Plausibility of Conquest, U.S. Nuclear Forces

This report examines why and how regional powers armed with nuclear weapons may employ those weapons coercively against the United States or U.S. allies during a conventional war. We argue that the problem of intra-war deterrence - preventing nuclear-armed adversaries from escalating during a conventional conflict - is arguably the most important deterrence challenge. More

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